Eva Bennemann vs Deborah ChiesaW75 Koksijde Round of 32

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 32
#317WTA
1381ELO
1263Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLLWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#326WTA
1449ELO
1460Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWWWW
Bennemann E.
vs
Chiesa D.

Eva Bennemann faces Deborah Chiesa in the W75 Koksijde round of 32 on clay. Eva Bennemann is the paper favourite — ranked #317 — but Deborah Chiesa arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Eva Bennemann's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Bennemann E.33%
Chiesa D.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chiesa D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1263
Surface ELO
7.5+196 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1381
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1449
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bennemann E.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Chiesa D.

Chiesa D.serving41% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Bennemann E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Bennemann E.: 18 days rest · Chiesa D.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw