Karim Bennani vs Marko MiladinovicM25 Southaven Round of 32

M25 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
#449ATP
1327ELO
1349Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#768ATP
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLLWL
Bennani K.
vs
Miladinovic M.

Karim Bennani faces Marko Miladinovic in the M25 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Karim Bennani holds the paper edge — ranked #449.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Bennani K.63%
Miladinovic M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bennani K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Karim Bennani 4 of 6, Marko Miladinovic 1 of 6 on hard recently — Karim Bennani the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Karim Bennani carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.05 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.3Won 55% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
50%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
55%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Dominant
60%
33%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
0.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bennani K.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Miladinovic M.

Miladinovic M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bennani K.

Serve advantage — Bennani K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw