Julie Pastikova vs Dayeon Back — W75 Leipzig Round of 32

W75 Leipzig · ITF · Round of 32
CZE
Julie Pastikova
#427WTA
1233ELO
1222Clay ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
KOR3
Dayeon Back
#245WTA
24 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWLWLW
Pastikova J.
vs
Back D.

Julie Pastikova faces Dayeon Back in the W75 Leipzig round of 32 on clay. Dayeon Back holds the paper edge — ranked #245. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Pastikova J.30%
Back D.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Back D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Win streak: Dayeon Back arrives on a 10-match winning run.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pastikova J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Back D.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 39 matches

Statistics

This season
Pastikova J.Back D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Pastikova J.serving21% hold

wins 37% of points on serve vs Back D.

Back D.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Pastikova J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw