Karen Khachanov vs Terence AtmaneMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#39ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 4th on
#46ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWLL
Khachanov K.
vs
Atmane T.

Karen Khachanov faces Terence Atmane in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Karen Khachanov holds the paper edge — ranked #39, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • Atmane defeated Jack Draper 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 in the first round after Draper's chronic elbow injury flared up mid-match.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Khachanov K.64%
Atmane T.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Khachanov K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
12 common opponents · Khachanov K. 6–8 · Atmane T. 8–7
Atmane T. better · different surfaces (Grass × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1674
6.6Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1704
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
30%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.4
8.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Atmane T.

Atmane T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
40
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
88
Break points won·Dominant
80
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
40
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
70

Khachanov K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Atmane T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw