Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi — Montreal Round of 64
ITA30
Marozsan F.
Fabian Marozsan faces Matteo Arnaldi in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Matteo Arnaldi holds the paper edge — ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 2–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Fabian Marozsan comes in with 1 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Matteo Arnaldi's 9 and 10.
- Serve & return: Fabian Marozsan leads on Serve Rating (32), Matteo Arnaldi on Return Rating (38).
- Head-to-head: Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Geneva 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMarozsan F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | R16 | clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2021-04-14 | M15 Antalya 15 | R32 | clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-6(2) 6-4 |