Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

POLWC

Weronika Falkowska

#310WTA

1253ELO

1259Hard ELO

26 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLLWWWLW

2 — 1

Sets

Wednesday, 5 August 2026 · 15:25

hard

CENTER COURT · 3rd on

GER7

Noma Noha Akugue

#141WTA

1624ELO

1588Hard ELO

22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWLWWLLLW

Falkowska W.

3-6 7-6 7-5

Noha Akugue N.

Falkowska W.

37⁸72

Noha Akugue N.

66⁶51

Weronika Falkowska defeated Noma Noha Akugue in the Round of 16 at the Warsaw hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 in favor of Falkowska. Key stats included 4 aces and 5 double faults for Falkowska, compared to 2 aces and 1 double fault for Akugue.

Key context

Match story: Weronika Falkowska dropped the opening set before beating Noma Noha Akugue 3–6 7–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Falkowska W.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Noha Akugue N.

Noha Akugue N.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Falkowska W.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Falkowska W.Noha Akugue N.

1st serve in·Slight edge

60%

65%

1st serve points won·Even

67%

64%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

51%

Service points won·Even

59%

60%

Return points won·Even

50%

46%

Break points saved·Even

54%

57%

Aces / match·Even

2.5

2.7

Double faults / match·Slight edge

3.0

2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Falkowska W.41%

Noha Akugue N.59%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Noha Akugue N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Falkowska W.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Noha Akugue N.

7.7

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

0.9Hard Elo 1259

Surface ELO

9.1+330 Hard Elo edge

0.4Overall Elo 1253

ELO gap

9.6Overall Elo 1624

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.26 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

9.39 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Falkowska W.Noha Akugue N.

Freshness·Even

Falkowska W.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Noha Akugue N.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather

37°CClear

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 33%

Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue — Warsaw Round of 16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return