Solana Sierra vs Sloane StephensToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#86WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#307WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWW
Sierra S.
3-6 4-6
Stephens S.
Sierra S.
340
Stephens S.
662

Sloane Stephens defeated Solana Sierra in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Stephens hit 4 double faults and converted 62% of her break points, while Sierra hit 8 double faults and converted 67%. Stephens won 5 service breaks to Sierra's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
55
Break points saved·Dominant
81
18
Break points won·Slight edge
96
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
88
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Sierra S.56%
Stephens S.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1630
6.3Overall Elo 1783
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.01 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
70

Sierra S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Stephens S.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw