Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov — Montreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
Zachary Svajda
USA
Zachary Svajda
#81ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWW
1 — 1
Sets
Retired
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Denis Shapovalov
#50ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$995kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Svajda Z.
4-6 6-4 3-0
Shapovalov D.
Svajda Z.
4631
Shapovalov D.
6401

Zachary Svajda defeated Denis Shapovalov in the Round of 128 in Montreal. Shapovalov retired during the match, trailing 4-6, 6-4, 3-0. Svajda had converted 33% of his break points and won 3 service breaks to Shapovalov's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Arriving from Los Cabos final Saturday; potential doubles withdrawal due to fatigue.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Shapovalov D.Sportsnet.ca ↗

  • “It's been a tricky year because I have been feeling good on court. I've been feeling good in practices, but I've been struggling physically. It's been a very challenging year for my body.”

    Shapovalov D.CBC ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Svajda Z.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Even
7.3
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Svajda Z.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
22
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
97
Break points won·Clear edge
61
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
9
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Svajda Z.44%
Shapovalov D.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Svajda Z.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Shapovalov D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1690
Surface ELO
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1771
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Svajda Z.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Svajda Z.: 18 days rest · Shapovalov D.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw