Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
Elena Gabriela Ruse
ROU
Elena Gabriela Ruse
#66WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$4.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Anastasia Potapova
RUS24
Anastasia Potapova
#24WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.7MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
Gabriela Ruse E.
4-6 2-6
Potapova A.
Gabriela Ruse E.
420
Potapova A.
662

Anastasia Potapova defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. Potapova won the match 6-4, 6-2. Potapova converted 67% of her break points and won four service breaks to Ruse's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-04TorontoR64hardAnastasia Potapova6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
5.0
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 52). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
45
60
Break points saved·Dominant
12
43
Break points won·Even
91
93
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
93
Tiebreaks·Even
18
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Gabriela Ruse E.36%
Potapova A.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Potapova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gabriela Ruse E.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Potapova A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1754
Surface ELO
5.6+50 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1850
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1904
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.
Freshness·
—
97

Potapova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw