Kristina Penickova vs Antonia Vergara RiveraW35 Southaven Round of 32

W35 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
#770WTA
16 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#346WTA
1351ELO
1291Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Penickova K.
6-2 7-5
Vergara Rivera A.
Penickova K.
672
Vergara Rivera A.
250

Kristina Penickova defeated Antonia Vergara Rivera in the Round of 32 at the W35 Southaven tournament, winning 6-2, 7-5 on hard courts. Penickova served 3 aces and 6 double faults, winning 72% of first-serve points and converting 31% of break points. Vergara Rivera had 1 ace and 5 double faults, winning 56% of first-serve points and converting 33% of break points; Penickova won 5 service breaks to Vergara Rivera's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
51%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Penickova K.28%
Vergara Rivera A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vergara Rivera A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.6Won 43% in Usa (23)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Penickova K.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw