Kira Pavlova vs Eva Alvarez Sande — W75 Ourense Round of 32
W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Pavlova K.vs
Alvarez Sande E.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTCPavlova K.87%
Alvarez Sande E.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Pavlova K. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
26 vs 4 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
3.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 69%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.