Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Dominik PalanM25+H Tauste Round of 32

M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 32
#1027ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#622ATP
1214ELO
1201Hard ELO
$16kYTD
$143kCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWL
Tsitsipas P.
7-6 6-4
Palan D.
Tsitsipas P.
7762
Palan D.
6440

Pavlos Tsitsipas defeated Dominik Palan 7-6, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the M25+H Tauste tournament. Tsitsipas served more efficiently, winning 89% of his first-serve points to Palan's 76%, and converted 50% of his break points. Tsitsipas won the match despite being out-aced 6-5 and committing one more double fault than Palan.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
Return points won·Even
34%
32%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
12.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.6
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tsitsipas P.25%
Palan D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Palan D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
91

Tsitsipas P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Palan D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw