Nicola Rispoli vs Gabriele Maria Noce — M25 Fano Round of 32
M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
Rispoli N.vs
Maria Noce G.
Nicola Rispoli faces Gabriele Maria Noce in the M25 Fano round of 32 on clay. Gabriele Maria Noce holds the paper edge — ranked #850.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCRispoli N.48%
Maria Noce G.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Surface form: Nicola Rispoli 2 of 5, Gabriele Maria Noce 3 of 5 on clay recently — Gabriele Maria Noce the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.31 of last 9 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
2 vs 6 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 56%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.