Michele Mecarelli vs Daniele Minighini — M25 Fano Round of 32
Mecarelli M.Michele Mecarelli faces Daniele Minighini in the M25 Fano round of 32 on clay. Michele Mecarelli is the paper favourite — ranked #950 — but Daniele Minighini arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 9 on clay to Michele Mecarelli's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Michele Mecarelli 3 of 9, Daniele Minighini 5 of 9 on clay recently — Daniele Minighini the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Michele Mecarelli carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.