Koki Matsuda vs Kerem Yilmaz — Istanbul 2 Round of 32
Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 4th on
Matsuda K.3-6 6-3 7-6
Yilmaz K.
Matsuda K.
36772
Yilmaz K.
63641
Koki Matsuda defeated Kerem Yilmaz in the Round of 32 at the Istanbul 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 in Matsuda's favor.
Key context
- Match story: Koki Matsuda dropped the opening set before beating Kerem Yilmaz 3–6 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
56%
32%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
40%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.9
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCMatsuda K.77%
Yilmaz K.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Matsuda K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface formFatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
91
100
Matsuda K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Yilmaz K.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 25%