Rebecca Marino vs Zeynep SonmezToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#345WTA
1626ELO
1591Hard ELO
35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#52WTA
1800ELO
1730Hard ELO
$806kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
Marino R.
5-7 4-6
Sonmez Z.
Marino R.
540
Sonmez Z.
762

Zeynep Sonmez defeated Rebecca Marino in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament, winning 7-5, 6-4 on hard courts. Sonmez hit 5 aces and 5 double faults, while Marino had 9 aces and 7 double faults. Sonmez converted 38% of her break points and broke Marino's serve 3 times, compared to Marino's 1 service break.

Around the match

  • Marino returns from fractured collarbone with solid ITF form (5-3 record) but faces a steep competitive step up in Toronto.

  • Making her first WTA Tour match comeback since September in Guadalajara, the two-time Tennis Canada Female Player of the Year returns to competitive action.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
75%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
20
14
Break points won·Dominant
10
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
84
Tiebreaks·
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Marino R.28%
Sonmez Z.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sonmez Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1591
Surface ELO
6.7+139 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1626
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1800
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
83

Marino R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Sonmez Z.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw