Francesca Pace vs Margaux Maquet — W75 Koksijde Round of 32

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 32

ITA

Francesca Pace

#363WTA

20 yrs

Last 10

LWWLWLLLWL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 4 August 2026 · 17:00

clay

BEL

Margaux Maquet

#634WTA

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLLWWWLW

Pace F.

Maquet M.

Francesca Pace faces Margaux Maquet in the W75 Koksijde round of 32 on clay. Francesca Pace is the paper favourite — ranked #363 — but Margaux Maquet arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Francesca Pace's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC

Pace F.56%

Maquet M.44%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Francesca Pace rising, Margaux Maquet cooling.
Fatigue load: Margaux Maquet carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Francesca Pace 4 of 10, Margaux Maquet 6 of 10 on clay recently — Margaux Maquet the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pace F.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Maquet M.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

1.62 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.38 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 4

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season

Pace F.Maquet M.

1st serve in·Even

66%

69%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

60%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

43%

47%

Service points won·Slight edge

54%

59%

Return points won·Slight edge

43%

49%

Break points saved·Slight edge

50%

57%

Aces / match·Even

1.8

1.7

Double faults / match·Even

3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Pace F.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Maquet M.

Maquet M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Pace F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Pace F.Maquet M.

Freshness·

100

—

Pace F.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°CClear

Wind 23 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.