Martha Matoula vs Yasmine MansouriW75 Koksijde Round of 32

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 32
#316WTA
1400ELO
1399Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLLLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
#371WTA
1303ELO
1166Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWW
Matoula M.
vs
Mansouri Y.

Martha Matoula faces Yasmine Mansouri in the W75 Koksijde round of 32 on clay. Martha Matoula is the paper favourite — ranked #316, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage — but Yasmine Mansouri has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings, though none on clay.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Matoula M.52%
Mansouri Y.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Yasmine Mansouri leads the head-to-head 2–1; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at W15 Monastir 5 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Martha Matoula carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+233 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1166
6.2Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1303
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.14 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Matoula M.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Mansouri Y.

Mansouri Y.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Matoula M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-08W15 Monastir 5QFhardYasmine Mansouri6-2 6-3
2024-10-24W35 Loule 1R16hardYasmine Mansouri6-3 7-5
2023-06-06W40 La MarsaR32hardMartha Matoula6-4 6-4

Draw