Aryan Shah vs L. Larue — M25+H Tauste Round of 32
M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Shah A.vs
Larue L.
Aryan Shah faces L. Larue in the M25+H Tauste round of 32 on hard. L. Larue holds the paper edge — ranked #934.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTCShah A.70%
Larue L.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Shah A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: L. Larue carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Aryan Shah 1 of 6, L. Larue 2 of 6 on hard recently — L. Larue the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0Lost last 2
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
8 vs 3 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
6.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Larue L.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 47%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.