Federica Urgesi vs Amelie Van ImpeW75 Koksijde Round of 32

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 32
#276WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLLWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
#678WTA
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
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Urgesi F.
vs
Van Impe A.

Federica Urgesi faces Amelie Van Impe in the W75 Koksijde round of 32 on clay. Federica Urgesi is the paper favourite — ranked #276 — but Amelie Van Impe arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Federica Urgesi's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Urgesi F.52%
Van Impe A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Federica Urgesi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Federica Urgesi 4 of 10, Amelie Van Impe 6 of 10 on clay recently — Amelie Van Impe the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
51%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
0.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Urgesi F.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Van Impe A.

Van Impe A.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Urgesi F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Urgesi F.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw