Samuel Heredia vs Luca Potenza — M25+H Tauste Round of 32
M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Heredia S.vs
Potenza L.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTCHeredia S.27%
Potenza L.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Potenza L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.82 of last 5 on hard
Surface form3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
9 vs 10 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
99
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Heredia S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.