Samuel Heredia vs Luca Potenza β€” M25+H Tauste Round of 32

M25+H Tauste Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#647ATP
$14kYTD
$38kCAREER
20 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWLLLWWWL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 Β·
hard
#538ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
$15kYTD
$127kCAREER
26 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWWWWLL
Heredia S.
5-7 1-6
Potenza L.
Heredia S.
510
Potenza L.
762

Luca Potenza defeated Samuel Heredia in the Round of 32 of the M25+H Tauste tournament, winning 7-5, 6-1 on hard courts. Potenza served 5 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Heredia had 3 aces and 4 double faults. Potenza converted 55% of his break points and won 6 service breaks, compared to Heredia's 3 service breaks and 100% conversion rate on break points.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Potenza came through a tight passage before pulling clear β€” 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
44%
48%
Service points wonΒ·Even
57%
57%
Return points wonΒ·Even
38%
40%
Break points savedΒ·Even
54%
55%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
4.9
2.0
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
6.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Heredia S.27%
Potenza L.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Potenza L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.82 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·
β€”
69

Potenza L.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw