Carl Emil Overbeck vs T. Grandinetti — M25 Fano Round of 32
M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
Emil Overbeck C.vs
Grandinetti T.
Carl Emil Overbeck faces T. Grandinetti in the M25 Fano round of 32 on clay. Carl Emil Overbeck holds the paper edge — ranked #344.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCEmil Overbeck C.89%
Grandinetti T.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Emil Overbeck C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Carl Emil Overbeck 4 of 5, T. Grandinetti 1 of 5 on clay recently — Carl Emil Overbeck the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Carl Emil Overbeck carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 4
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
21 vs 2 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
71%
53%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
43%
Service points won·Clear edge
65%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
32%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Emil Overbeck C.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
32°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.