Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Colton SmithLexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#315ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 3rd on
#200ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Dylan Hara Friend J.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Smith C.
Dylan Hara Friend J.
57762
Smith C.
76431

Jay Dylan Hara Friend defeated Colton Smith in the Round of 32 at the Lexington tournament, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 7-6, 6-3. Hara Friend hit 7 aces to Smith's 4 and converted 27% of break points to Smith's 19%, while also taking 4 service breaks to Smith's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-29M15 Los Angeles 1SFhardColton Smith6-2 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Dylan Hara Friend J.50%
Smith C.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1480
Surface ELO
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1503
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1577
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.9Won 81% in Usa (21)
Country comfort
6.5Won 74% in Usa (39)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
92

Dylan Hara Friend J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Smith C.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw