Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Bogdan Pavel — M25+H Tauste Round of 32
M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Gonzalez Fernandez M.vs
Pavel B.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTCGonzalez Fernandez M.60%
Pavel B.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Gonzalez Fernandez M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
10 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
65%
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1st serve points won·
62%
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2nd serve points won·
49%
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Service points won·
57%
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Return points won·
38%
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Break points saved·
58%
—
Aces / match·
2.0
—
Double faults / match·
3.5
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
95
100
Gonzalez Fernandez M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pavel B.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 41%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.