Maxwell Exsted vs Quinn Vandecasteele — M25 Southaven Round of 32
Exsted M.Maxwell Exsted defeated Quinn Vandecasteele in the Round of 32 at the M25 Southaven tournament, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-4, 6-4. Exsted hit one ace and three double faults, while Vandecasteele had seven aces and eight double faults. Both players converted the same number of service breaks, five, but Exsted had a higher break point conversion percentage, 36% to 31%.
Key context
- Match story: Maxwell Exsted dropped the opening set before beating Quinn Vandecasteele 2–6 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Vandecasteele Q. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadVandecasteele Q.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About