Oceane Dodin vs Arantxa Rus — W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
Oceane Dodin
FRA
Oceane Dodin
#331WTA
1539ELO
1514Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLLW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Arantxa Rus
NED2
Arantxa Rus
#184WTA
1511ELO
1503Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWL
Dodin O.
vs
Rus A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Dodin O.61%
Rus A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dodin O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Dodin O. 1–0 · Rus A. 1–1 · small sample
Dodin O. better · different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · ⚠ lower-tier event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dodin O.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Rus A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+12 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1502
5.3Overall Elo 1539
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1511
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
Dodin O.Rus A.
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dodin O.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Rus A.

Rus A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Dodin O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Dodin O.Rus A.
Clutch Rating·Even
3
0
Break points saved·Even
14
10
Break points won·Even
31
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
18
2
Tiebreaks·Dominant
31
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Dodin O.Rus A.
Freshness·Even
99
99

Dodin O.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rus A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardOceane Dodin6-4 3-6 6-3

Draw