Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian JacquetMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#108ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#121ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLWWW
Diallo G.
6-7 6-3 6-2
Jacquet K.
Diallo G.
61662
Jacquet K.
77321

Gabriel Diallo defeated Kyrian Jacquet in the Round of 128 in Montreal. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Diallo. He hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, converted 60% of break points, and won 77% of first-serve points, while Jacquet had 2 aces and 4 double faults, and did not convert any break points.

Around the match

  • Félix really helped me when I was making the transition from university to the pros. He always told me that a career has highs and lows, that having balance between your personal life and your tennis is important.

  • Gabriel Diallo grew up next door to Jarry Park and is staying with his parents this week, a true homecoming

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
43
47
Break points saved·Even
90
87
Break points won·Slight edge
22
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Diallo G.54%
Jacquet K.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+15 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1663
5.4Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1685
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
86

Diallo G.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw