Alex Bolt vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Lexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Alex Bolt
AUS7
Alex Bolt
#162ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$137kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 2nd on
JORQ
Abedallah Shelbayh
#253ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLL
Bolt A.
2-6 3-6
Shelbayh A.
Bolt A.
230
Shelbayh A.
662

Abedallah Shelbayh defeated Alex Bolt 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Lexington hard-court tournament. Shelbayh converted all four of his break points and won 84% of his first-serve points to secure the win. He served five aces to Bolt's seven and made two double faults to Bolt's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bolt A.Shelbayh A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bolt A.Shelbayh A.
Clutch Rating·Even
32
36
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
74
Break points won·Dominant
3
31
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
37
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Bolt A.45%
Shelbayh A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bolt A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Shelbayh A.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1448
6.8Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1442
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bolt A.Shelbayh A.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
79

Bolt A.: 15 days rest · Shelbayh A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw