Ozan Baris vs Liam BroadyLexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#433ATP
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
#201ATP
1590ELO
1577Hard ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Baris O.
6-4 7-5
Broady L.
Baris O.
672
Broady L.
450

Ozan Baris defeated Liam Broady in the Round of 32 at the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 7-5. Baris hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 29% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points. He broke Broady's serve 4 times, compared to 2 breaks for Broady.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
70%
2nd serve points won·
56%
Service points won·
65%
Return points won·
45%
Break points saved·
60%
Aces / match·
2.8
Double faults / match·
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Baris O.21%
Broady L.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.7Won 62% in Usa (76)
Country comfort
6.4Won 73% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
99
96

Baris O.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Broady L.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw