Federico Arnaboldi vs N. CiavarellaM25 Fano Round of 32

M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 32
#495ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
$23kYTD
$323kCAREER
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
#1000ATP
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Arnaboldi F.
7-5 6-1
Ciavarella N.
Arnaboldi F.
762
Ciavarella N.
510

Federico Arnaboldi defeated N. Ciavarella 7-5, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Fano tournament on clay. Arnaboldi converted 71% of his break points and secured five service breaks to Ciavarella's two. Arnaboldi hit two aces and committed zero double faults in the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Arnaboldi came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23M15 BergamoR32clayFederico Arnaboldi4-6 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Arnaboldi F.82%
Ciavarella N.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arnaboldi F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
88

Arnaboldi F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Ciavarella N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw