Lourdes Ayala vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias — W35 Chacabuco Round of 32
W35 Chacabuco · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
Ayala L.vs
Mediorreal Arias V.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCAyala L.43%
Mediorreal Arias V.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.71 of last 10 on clay
Surface form1.52 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 11
Win streak0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
13 vs 8 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
52%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Service points won·Even
48%
48%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
37%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
0.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 67%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.