Mai Hontama vs Erika AndreevaW100 Landisville Round of 32

W100 Landisville · ITF · Round of 32
#189WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#209WTA
1553ELO
1513Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWLW
Hontama M.
vs
Andreeva E.

Mai Hontama faces Erika Andreeva in the W100 Landisville round of 32 on hard. Mai Hontama holds the paper edge — ranked #189.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Hontama M.45%
Andreeva E.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Mai Hontama comes in with 3 days of rest and 121 games in 14d, vs Erika Andreeva's 12 and 33.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Erika Andreeva has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 65 vs 29).

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
5.9+72 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1553
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.2Won 54% in Usa (24)
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hontama M.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Andreeva E.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
65
Break points saved·Dominant
27
56
Break points won·Slight edge
96
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
97

Hontama M.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d) · Andreeva E.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw