Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Adrian AndreevPlovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#335ATP
1379ELO
1368Clay ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#841ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Dellien Velasco M.
1-6 6-7
Andreev A.
Dellien Velasco M.
16100
Andreev A.
67122

Adrian Andreev defeated Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the Round of 32 at the Plovdiv 2 tournament, winning in straight sets 6-1, 7-6. The match was played on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Adrian Andreev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
19
37
Break points saved·Dominant
28
53
Break points won·Slight edge
19
14
Deciding sets·Slight edge
63
55
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Dellien Velasco M.44%
Andreev A.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
98

Dellien Velasco M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Andreev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 22%

Draw