Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — M25 Londrina Round of 32
M25 Londrina · ITF · Round of 32
#454ATP
1219ELO
1209Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
#560ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
Rodriguez L.4-6 4-6
Meligeni Alves F.
Rodriguez L.
440
Meligeni Alves F.
662
Felipe Meligeni Alves defeated Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Londrina tournament on clay. Alves converted all four of his break points, while Rodriguez converted two of four. Alves also had fewer double faults, 1 to 6, in the match.
Key context
- Match story: Felipe Meligeni Alves edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCRodriguez L.25%
Meligeni Alves F.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Meligeni Alves F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1209
Surface ELO8.2+259 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1218
ELO gap8.2Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form7.58 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 56%