Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Felipe Meligeni Alves β€” M25 Londrina Round of 32

M25 Londrina Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#518ATP
1219ELO
1209Clay ELO
$19kYTD
$98kCAREER
26 yrs Β· 196 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWLLWWWLWW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 Β·
clay
#463ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
$58kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
28 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Rodriguez L.
4-6 4-6
Meligeni Alves F.
Rodriguez L.
440
Meligeni Alves F.
662

Felipe Meligeni Alves defeated Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Londrina tournament on clay. Alves converted all four of his break points, while Rodriguez converted two of four. Alves also had fewer double faults, 1 to 6, in the match.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points wonΒ·Even
60%
60%
Return points wonΒ·Even
44%
43%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / matchΒ·Even
1.6
1.6
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.4
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 16:50 UTC
Rodriguez L.25%
Meligeni Alves F.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Meligeni Alves F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1209
Surface ELO
8.2+259 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1218
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
84
99

Rodriguez L.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 27 games (7d) Β· Meligeni Alves F.: 14 days rest Β· 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24Β°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw