Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel Altmaier — Montreal Round of 64
USA28
Nakashima B.
Brandon Nakashima faces Daniel Altmaier in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Brandon Nakashima holds the paper edge — ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Nakashima B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Brandon Nakashima comes in with 3 days of rest and 101 games in 14d, vs Daniel Altmaier's 0 and 83.
- Last match: Daniel Altmaier dropped the opening set before beating Aleksandar Vukic 6–7 7–6 6–4.
- Head-to-head: Brandon Nakashima leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Acapulco 2023.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadNakashima B.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d) · Altmaier D.: played today · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | R32 | hard | Brandon Nakashima | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |