Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov — Montreal Round of 128
Svajda Z.
Zachary Svajda faces Denis Shapovalov in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Denis Shapovalov holds the paper edge — ranked #68, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Denis Shapovalov has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 74 vs 14).
- Freshness: Zachary Svajda comes in with 4 days of rest and 57 games in 14d, vs Denis Shapovalov's 1 and 42.
- Win streak: Denis Shapovalov arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvajda Z.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.