Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Juncheng ShangMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#65ATP
1740ELO
1520Hard ELO
$407kYTD
$665kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWLLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#270ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWWLW
Vallejo A.
vs
Shang J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Vallejo A.29%
Shang J.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shang J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Vallejo A. 1–0 · Shang J. 0–1 · small sample
Vallejo A. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1520
Surface ELO
7.2+179 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1740
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1746
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.83 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Clear edge
45%
29%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vallejo A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Shang J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Serve advantage — Vallejo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
53
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
88
Break points won·Dominant
65
9
Deciding sets·Even
85
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
85

Vallejo A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shang J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw