Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus WilliamsToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#82WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#664WTA
1654ELO
1617Hard ELO
46 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLLL
Rakhimova K.
vs
Williams V.

Kamilla Rakhimova faces Venus Williams in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Kamilla Rakhimova holds the paper edge — ranked #82, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Rakhimova K.82%
Williams V.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Rakhimova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Rakhimova K. 1–2 · Williams V. 0–3 · small sample
Rakhimova K. better · same surface, 11 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1617
5.5Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.00 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 12
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
5.3
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Williams V.

Williams V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Serve advantage — Rakhimova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
45
Break points saved·Dominant
2
35
Break points won·Clear edge
76
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
20
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Rakhimova K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Williams V.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw