Zsombor Piros vs Daniel RinconHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#122ATP
1661ELO
1621Clay ELO
$192kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#207ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLWW
Piros Z.
vs
Rincon D.

Zsombor Piros faces Daniel Rincon in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Zsombor Piros holds the paper edge — ranked #122, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Piros Z.67%
Rincon D.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Piros Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+151 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1469
6.7Overall Elo 1661
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1522
7.1Leads 3–1 on clay
H2H
2.9Trails 1–3 on clay
8.59 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Piros Z.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Rincon D.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Serve advantage — Piros Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
41
Break points saved·Dominant
24
50
Break points won·Clear edge
14
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
1
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
78

Piros Z.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rincon D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw