Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Muller — Hagen Round of 32
FRA5
Den Ouden G.
Guy Den Ouden faces Alexandre Muller in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Alexandre Muller is the paper favourite — ranked #132, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Guy Den Ouden arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on clay to Alexandre Muller's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Guy Den Ouden 65 games in 14 days, Alexandre Muller 102.
- Under pressure: Alexandre Muller has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs Guy Den Ouden's 26).
- Surface form: Guy Den Ouden 7 of 9, Alexandre Muller 2 of 9 on clay recently — Guy Den Ouden the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDen Ouden G.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Muller A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 86 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.