Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Marcello SerafiniM25 Fano Round of 32

M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 32
#1170ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#1217ATP
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWW
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
3-6 6-7
Serafini M.
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.
3640
Serafini M.
6772

Marcello Serafini defeated Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini in the Round of 32 at the M25 Fano tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in favor of Serafini. Serafini hit 0 aces and 6 double faults, while Mordini had 0 aces and 3 double faults; Serafini won 60% of first-serve points and converted 45% of break points, compared to Mordini's 49% and 44%, respectively; Serafini secured 5 service breaks to Mordini's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
29%
38%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
13.2
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.28%
Serafini M.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Serafini M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw