Alex Molcan vs Chun Hsin TsengHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#74ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$303kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#260ATP
1554ELO
1541Clay ELO
$99kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWL
Molcan A.
vs
Hsin Tseng C.

Alex Molcan faces Chun Hsin Tseng in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Alex Molcan holds the paper edge — ranked #74, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Molcan A.80%
Hsin Tseng C.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Molcan A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Molcan A. 0–2 · Hsin Tseng C. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+171 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1541
7.3Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1554
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Molcan A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Hsin Tseng C.

Hsin Tseng C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
0
Break points saved·Dominant
88
51
Break points won·Dominant
41
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
99

Molcan A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Hsin Tseng C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw