Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils — Montreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
Kamil Majchrzak
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#72ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWWWW
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Gael Monfils
FRAWC
Gael Monfils
#326ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLL
Majchrzak K.
vs
Monfils G.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Majchrzak K.69%
Monfils G.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Majchrzak K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Majchrzak K. 1–2 · Monfils G. 0–3 · small sample
Majchrzak K. better · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Majchrzak K.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Monfils G.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1739
Surface ELO
5.6+44 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
Majchrzak K.Monfils G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Majchrzak K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Monfils G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Majchrzak K.Monfils G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Dominant
10
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Majchrzak K.Monfils G.
Freshness·
79
—

Majchrzak K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw