Elmer Moller vs Jamie MackenzieHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#931ATP
56 yrs
Last 10
WWWWLWLWWL
Moller E.
vs
Mackenzie J.

Elmer Moller faces Jamie Mackenzie in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Elmer Moller is the paper favourite — ranked #190 — but Jamie Mackenzie arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to Elmer Moller's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Moller E.84%
Mackenzie J.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Moller E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Moller E. 2–0 · Mackenzie J. 0–1 · small sample
Moller E. better · different surfaces (Hard × Grass) · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.05 of last 8 on clay
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
59%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Clear edge
52%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
47%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
10.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mackenzie J.

Mackenzie J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Serve advantage — Mackenzie J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
69

Moller E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Mackenzie J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw