Panna Udvardy vs Eva Lys — Toronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
Panna Udvardy
HUN
Panna Udvardy
#74WTA
1681ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWLLW
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Eva Lys
GER
Eva Lys
#85WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLLW
Udvardy P.
vs
Lys E.

Panna Udvardy faces Eva Lys in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Eva Lys holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Udvardy P.37%
Lys E.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lys E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Serve & return: Panna Udvardy brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 27), Eva Lys the stronger return game (Return Rating 62).
  • Head-to-head: Eva Lys leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Hamburg 2023.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Udvardy P. 2–3 · Lys E. 3–1 · small sample
Lys E. better · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Udvardy P.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Lys E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1577
Surface ELO
7.4+193 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1791
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
Udvardy P.Lys E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
50%
47%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Udvardy P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lys E.

Lys E.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Udvardy P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Udvardy P.Lys E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
39
47
Break points saved·Dominant
68
4
Break points won·Clear edge
77
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
75
Tiebreaks·
89
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Udvardy P.Lys E.
Freshness·
92
—

Udvardy P.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-23HamburgR16clayEva Lys6-4 6-1

Draw