James Mccabe vs Dusan Lajovic — Lexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
AUSALT
James Mccabe
#238ATP
1532ELO
1481Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLWLW
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Dusan Lajovic
SRB2
Dusan Lajovic
#152ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWLW
Mccabe J.
vs
Lajovic D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Mccabe J.54%
Lajovic D.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Mccabe J. 1–0 · Lajovic D. 0–2 · small sample
Mccabe J. better · same surface · ⚠ lower-tier event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mccabe J.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Lajovic D.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1481
Surface ELO
6.0+77 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Mccabe J.Lajovic D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mccabe J.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Lajovic D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Mccabe J.Lajovic D.
Clutch Rating·Even
37
37
Break points saved·Even
85
84
Break points won·Slight edge
9
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mccabe J.Lajovic D.
Freshness·Slight edge
91
99

Mccabe J.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Lajovic D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw