Teodora Kostovic vs Martyna Kubka — Warsaw Round of 32
Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Kostovic T.vs
Kubka M.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCKostovic T.47%
Kubka M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO5.6+52 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap5.9Overall Elo 1600
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form7.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
45 vs 38 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-28 | W15 Leimen 1 | QF | hard | Martyna Kubka | 6-3 6-1 |