Renata Zarazua vs Tamara Korpatsch — Toronto Round of 128
Zarazua R.
Renata Zarazua faces Tamara Korpatsch in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Renata Zarazua is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Tamara Korpatsch rides a 5-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Renata Zarazua 37 games in 14 days, Tamara Korpatsch 97.
- Win streak: Tamara Korpatsch arrives on a 5-match winning run.
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at W100 Madrid 1 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadZarazua R.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Korpatsch T.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-18 | W100 Madrid 1 | QF | clay | Renata Zarazua | 6-4 6-3 |