Sebastian Sorger vs Sandro Kopp — Plovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

AUT

Sebastian Sorger

#476ATP

20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWLWWWLW

—

Sets

Monday, 3 August 2026 · 08:00

clay

AUT3

Sandro Kopp

#286ATP

1437ELO

1428Clay ELO

26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWWLWLWL

Sorger S.

Kopp S.

Sebastian Sorger faces Sandro Kopp in the Plovdiv 2 round of 32 on clay. Sandro Kopp is the paper favourite — ranked #286 — but Sebastian Sorger arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Sandro Kopp's 6. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC

Sorger S.38%

Kopp S.62%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kopp S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at M25 Bolzano 2026.
Surface form: Sebastian Sorger 8 of 10, Sandro Kopp 6 of 10 on clay recently — Sebastian Sorger the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Sorger S.

4.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Kopp S.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.2Split 1–1 on clay

H2H

4.8Split 1–1 on clay

0.71 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.66 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 11

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season

Sorger S.Kopp S.

1st serve in·Slight edge

66%

71%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

59%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

51%

53%

Service points won·Slight edge

56%

63%

Return points won·Even

41%

37%

Break points saved·Even

56%

59%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.9

3.4

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.5

1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Sorger S.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kopp S.

Kopp S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sorger S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load