Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Alycia ParksToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#120WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWWWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#68WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLLLL
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
vs
Parks A.

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva faces Alycia Parks in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Alycia Parks holds the paper edge — ranked #68, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Jimenez Kasintseva V.45%
Parks A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Jimenez Kasintseva V. 1–5 · Parks A. 2–5
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1579
Surface ELO
5.8+60 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1599
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1648
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Parks A.

Parks A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Serve advantage — Parks A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
0
Break points saved·Dominant
82
14
Break points won·Dominant
88
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
26
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
98

Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Parks A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR128clayAlycia Parks6-3 6-3

Draw